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The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a high and plunged sharply!

Post time: 2025-09-18 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a new high and plunged sharply!" Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

On September 18, early trading in the Asian market on Thursday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered at 96.99. In the early morning of Thursday, after the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, the US dollar index plunged in the short term, but in a subsequent press conference, Powell said this was a "risk management" rate cut. The US dollar index rebounded and recovered the $97 mark, and finally closed up 0.37% to 97.02. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.0850%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.5720%. Strictly dragged down by the US dollar's rebound, spot gold hit a new high and fell sharply, touching US$3,650 for a time, and finally closed down 0.83%, closing at US$3,658.86/ounce; spot silver finally closed down 2.01%, at US$41.65/ounce. Crude oil prices ended up three consecutive surges as investors evaluated the latest U.S. inventory report and the Federal Reserve warned of cracks in the U.S. labor market. WTI crude oil closed down 0.90% at $63.96 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.85% at $67.92 per barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar hovered around 96.99. The U.S. dollar index hit a weekly low near 96.50 on Wednesday, followed by an acceptable rebound after the Fed decided to cut interest rates. The number of weekly initial jobless claims will be the focus along with the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, CB Leading Index and TIC traffic. Technically, the latest US dollar indexThe support level is in the range of 96.40–96.55. If the U.S. dollar index closes below that level, it will go to the next support level 95.50–95.65.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a high and plunged sharply!(图1)

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hovers around 1.1819. The euro (EUR) reversed its move after the Federal Reserve cut a 25 basis point hawkish rate cut on Wednesday, falling against the US dollar (USD). Traders took a profit after pushing the pair to an annual high of 1.1918, then fell 100 points to the current price. Technically, successfully testing the resistance level 1.1870–1.1885 will open the road for testing the next resistance level 1.1960–1.1975.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a high and plunged sharply!(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3625. The pound/dollar surged to its highest offer in 11 weeks on Wednesday, driven by a weak dollar in broad market after the Fed implemented its first rate cut this year, and the dot chart shows that future rate cuts are higher than the last Fed meeting. The Bank of England (BoE) will release its own interest rate decision on Thursday. With the Federal Reserve in focus this week, the Bank of England is under enormous pressure, and the market generally expects the Bank of England's Monetary Policy www.qgrse.cnmittee (MPC) to keep interest rates unchanged with a 7-2 vote. Technically, if GBP/USD successfully closes above the 1.3680 level, it will move towards the next resistance level 1.3775–1.3790.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a high and plunged sharply!(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

On Thursday, gold hovered around 3662.78. Gold prices plummeted after the Federal Open Market www.qgrse.cnmittee (FOMC) decided to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, indicating further easing is expected in 2025. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said at a press conference that labor demand was “already weak” and inflation remained “slightly rising.” He added that the risk balance “has changed” and that the policies are in a favorable position to respond in a timely manner, and the labor market is not stable. Asked about the discussion about the 50 basis point cut, he said "there is no widespread support for the 50 basis point cut today", adding that they are not in a hurry to relax policies.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a high and plunged sharply!(图4)

Technical: Gold prices briefly soared to a new record of $3,703 on Tuesday, and then gave up the gains and consolidated around the $3,680 area on Wednesday. Precious metals stillBeing in a good position to retest all-time highs and potentially rise to $3,750 and $3,800. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to send overbought signals that there is limited room for a recent upside, but the broader bias is bullish.

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On Thursday, crude oil trading around 63.52. Oil prices fell on Wednesday after data showed rising U.S. diesel stocks sparked concerns about demand and the Fed cut rates as expected. Investors need to pay attention to the market's further interpretation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate resolution, the changes in the Bank of England's interest rate resolution and the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States, and the press conference held by US President Trump after meeting with British Prime Minister Stamer.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and gold hit a high and plunged sharply!(图5)

Technical: The price of WTI crude oil futures has fallen in recent day trading, digesting the profits accumulated by previous rises. The pullback aims to accumulate new bullish momentum by correcting the obvious overbought situation on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which will help it regain its rally. The current trend of oil prices is mainly affected by a short-term positive technical form - "double bottom". In addition, the price continues to run above the 50-cycle index moving average (EMA50), which provides it with positive thrust and strengthens the possibility that the corrective rise will continue in the short term.

Forex market trading reminder on September 17, 2025

19:00 The Bank of England announced interest rate resolution and meeting minutes

20:30 The number of initial unemployment claims in the week from the United States to September 13

20:30 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in September 21:20 US President Trump held a release with British Prime Minister Stamer Meeting

22:00 The leading indicator monthly rate of the United States Consulting Chamber of www.qgrse.cnmerce in August

22:30 The EIA natural gas inventory in the week from the United States to September 12

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